What if Strapi drops support for MongoDB, will my data lost?

I think that what the Strapi team is doing is the writing migration guides for the following.
Strapi V3 MongoDB → Strapi V3 SQL
Strapi V3 Sql → Strapi V4 SQL

So it will need to be done in stages. I think the guides from what people have said around on discord is End of “March” at least end of Q1 for the migration guides.

So the answer is technically no.
So stay on V3 until the migration guides are ready.